President Donald Trump's approval rating remains stuck at a record low of 32%, while a growing number of Hispanic voters say they are turning against both the president and his Republican Party, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday. The six-day survey points to deepening political trouble for the White House less than a month before the November 3 midterm elections.
The poll found 32% of Americans approving of Trump's job performance — unchanged from a September Reuters/Ipsos survey and the lowest rating of his political career, according to Reuters. The online, nationwide survey of 4,506 U.S. adults carries a margin of error of about two percentage points. USA Today notes that 32% in two consecutive polls is the lowest Trump has ever scored in Reuters/Ipsos polling across both of his terms, breaking a previous floor of 33%.
Hispanic Voters Sour on Trump and Republicans
The sharpest movement in the poll came from Hispanic voters, who played a decisive role in Trump's 2024 victory. Just 24% of Hispanic Americans now approve of Trump's performance — the lowest share recorded in either of his two presidential terms, Reuters reported. Trump won nearly half of the Hispanic vote in 2024, compared with roughly one-third in 2020, according to Pew Research Center estimates cited by Al Jazeera.
The erosion is hitting the Republican Party's electoral prospects directly. Only 26% of Hispanic registered voters plan to vote Republican in the November 3 midterms, while 52% say they will back Democrats — about double the level of Republican support and the largest Democratic advantage among Hispanic voters since Trump took office, the poll found. Representative Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida, a Republican, recently told Trump in a campaign ad that "the same Hispanics who helped you get to the White House in 2024 feel betrayed today."
What the Reuters/Ipsos Poll Found Beyond Approval Numbers
The survey also measured the midterm landscape. Among registered voters, Democrats led Republicans 44% to 37% on the generic congressional ballot. Among independents, Democrats led 37% to 21%, though 28% of independent registered voters remained undecided — a large pool either party could still win over.
Republicans are also losing their traditional edge among older voters, according to IBTimes' analysis of the poll: voters aged 50 and above favored Republicans by only 44% to 42%, down from an eight-point Republican advantage in December. Among voters under 50, Democrats held an 18-point lead. The November 3 elections will determine control of both chambers of Congress for the final two years of Trump's current term.
High Inflation Weighs on the White House
The poll's context is economic pressure. Reuters reported that support for the president has waned in recent months as Americans struggle with high inflation, which the outlet ties to Trump's decision to go to war with Iran. Rising costs — particularly fuel and groceries — have emerged as the dominant voter concern heading into the midterms, and many analysts now predict Democrats will take the House, with Senate control increasingly seen as up for grabs.
The takeaway: Trump's 2024 coalition is fraying where he can least afford it. Hispanic voters who helped deliver his comeback are now the group souring fastest, the generic-ballot lead sits with Democrats, and the cost of living remains the issue neither the White House nor the GOP has solved — with the November 3 midterms weeks away.
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