Around the World: Lula, Serbia, Venezuela — October 26 Update

Manishraj Yadav
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Official portrait of Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who won a historic fourth term on Sunday. Photo: Palácio do Planalto (CC BY 2.0).

From a historic election in Brazil to a student-led political earthquake in Serbia and a Nobel laureate's return to Venezuela, the last 48 hours have reshaped politics across three continents, while the Middle East braces for what could come next. Here are the day's biggest global developments.

Lula wins a historic fourth term in Brazil

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva secured a fourth, nonconsecutive term on Sunday, defeating conservative challenger Flávio Bolsonaro in a closely contested presidential runoff with 51.7 percent of the vote, according to reports. Voting was extended in places because of weather and transport problems, a decision Bolsonaro now cites as grounds to seek an annulment, though his own campaign had also asked for an extension. Brazil's electoral court has recognised Lula's win, and leaders in Mexico, Canada, Cuba and Chile congratulated him. The result is being read abroad as a boost for diplomacy: China cites record Brazil-China trade of $143.3 billion in the first nine months of 2026, and Ukraine's president has previously accepted Lula's offer to help mediate an end to the war.

Serbia's students end Vučić's 14-year rule

In Serbia, the student-led Student List won a landmark victory in snap parliamentary elections, prompting longtime leader Aleksandar Vučić to concede defeat on Sunday night after 14 years of dominance. The movement grew out of nearly two years of protests sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station canopy collapse that killed 16 people, a tragedy protesters blamed on corruption. Mass celebrations erupted in Belgrade after Vučić publicly conceded, and the result is being seen across Europe as proof that sustained, youth-led protest movements can translate street anger into electoral power. What the new government does with that mandate, and whether Vučić's party accepts the scale of its defeat, will shape Serbia's politics for years.

Machado returns to Venezuela after a year in exile

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado announced her return home after nearly a year abroad, a move that adds a new chapter to Venezuela's political transition under interim President Delcy Rodríguez. Machado, a Nobel laureate, had been in exile for months, and her return is being watched closely for what it signals about the opposition's next steps, about possible elections ahead, and about whether the country's fragile transition holds or fractures. Her homecoming, alongside the election results in Brazil and Serbia, makes this weekend one of the most consequential for Latin American and European democracy in years.

US forces ready to strike Iran within 96 hours of an order

US forces in the Middle East are prepared to launch major military operations against Iran within 96 hours of an order from President Donald Trump, CNN reported, citing two US officials. The potential campaign would target Iranian energy infrastructure, military sites and nuclear facilities, going well beyond recent limited strikes. Officials believe an order could come before the end of the year, most likely after the November 3 US midterm elections, while Israel prepares for its own parliamentary vote on Tuesday and Tehran dismisses the threats as empty.

Israel votes on Tuesday as Netanyahu warns Iran

Israelis head to the polls on Tuesday in legislative elections held amid mounting threats of renewed war with Iran. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned Iran and its allies against disrupting the vote, threatening a forceful response, while opposition leader Yair Lapid accused Netanyahu of seeking to escalate the conflict to delay the election, an allegation the prime minister has denied. Iran's foreign ministry said the outcome would make no difference to Tehran.

France protests: 1,314 arrested as marches turn violent

In France, protests that have roiled the country for weeks escalated again, with 1,314 people arrested as marches turned violent, according to reports from Sunday's demonstrations. The unrest remains one of Europe's most persistent protest waves, driven by anger over policing, living costs and the political direction of the country. Earlier rounds saw France deploy 70,000 police officers as protests spread, a measure of how seriously the authorities have taken the movement, and how little it has faded.

Four killed in drone attacks on Russia's Belgorod region

Four people were killed in two drone attacks on Russia's Belgorod region, according to reports on Monday, the latest deadly strikes in the border region that has borne much of the war's spillover into Russian territory. The attacks underline that, even as diplomats talk about possible talks, the war in Ukraine continues to claim civilian lives on both sides of the front line, with Ukrainian and Russian forces continuing to exchange strikes ahead of any diplomatic opening.

What to watch next

Watch Brazil's electoral court for its ruling on Bolsonaro's annulment bid, Serbia for the formation of a student-led government, and Israel's election results on Tuesday for their effect on the Iran standoff. In Venezuela, watch whether Machado's return energises the opposition or triggers a crackdown by the interim authorities. Above all, watch Washington after November 3: whether Trump gives the order his generals are ready to carry out will decide whether the Middle East slides back into full-scale war, and whether the region's fragile diplomacy gets one more chance.

Sources: Open Chronicle, Firstpost, CNN

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